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NASCAR Hits the Streets of San Diego: Hamlin's Hot Streak Meets His Road-Course Problem

Denny Hamlin has won three straight and chopped Tyler Reddick's points lead to 19. This weekend NASCAR races a street course laid through an active naval base for the first time ever, and road courses are the one place Hamlin has never figured out. The title could swing in San Diego.

John Speedway· Motorsports Columnist, Grand National Today
||4 min read
The Charlotte Mercury NASCAR coverage
The Charlotte Mercury NASCAR coverage

There is a corner on NASCAR's new San Diego street course called Carrier Corner. It sits between the spots where the Navy docks two of its aircraft carriers. Another corner is named Runway Road, because it runs right up against one.

This is where the Cup Series is racing on Sunday.

Not a speedway. Not some country road course. A 3.4-mile street circuit laid straight through Naval Base Coronado, an active naval air station and the homeport of the carriers USS Nimitz and USS Ronald Reagan. They are calling it the Anduril 250, and it is the first NASCAR race ever held on an active military base. The sport could not have picked a stranger place to swing a championship fight.

Here is the fight. Denny Hamlin, the No. 11 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota, is the hottest driver in the sport, three wins in a row, the first three-race streak of his entire career. Four wins on the season. A series-best 824 laps led, the most he has ever led through 16 races. He has chopped Tyler Reddick's points lead down to 19, the closest it has been since the Daytona 500. At 45, he is chasing a title that would make him the oldest champion in the history of the sport, by three days.

So Hamlin is rolling. There is just one problem.

Road courses.

Look, folks. The man has 64 career Cup wins. Exactly one of them came on a road course, at Watkins Glen, in 2016. ONE. Since 2024 his average finish when the track turns both directions is 19.83, which ranks 21st among full-time drivers. Three top-10s in 24 road-course starts in the Next Gen car. The hottest hand in NASCAR is walking into the one kind of racing that has spent a decade quietly beating him.

And the man he is chasing eats this stuff up. Reddick, the No. 45 23XI Racing Toyota, didn't back into the points lead. He owns four career road-course wins, the best average finish of anyone who has run all 16 races this season, and more road-course top-10s than any driver in the sport since he started running them in 2020. NASCAR's own Racing Insights model projects him to be the top point-scorer over the next five races, and to out-point Hamlin by 31 across the next two road courses, San Diego and then Sonoma the following weekend. That same model had Hamlin's regular-season title odds at 11 percent a month ago. Even on this heater, they sit at 38 percent now. The streak is real. The schedule is not on his side.

And then there is the man who might beat both of them.

Shane van Gisbergen is the best road racer in NASCAR, and it is not close. Trackhouse Racing's New Zealander has won seven of his 14 career Cup road-course starts, six of them in the last seven road-course races. His average finish on courses that bend both ways since the start of 2025 is 1.75, the best of any full-time driver. His all-time road-course average of 6.71 trails only Hall of Famer Fireball Roberts across the entire history of the sport. Four of the five largest margins of victory in the Next Gen car are his, every one on a road course. Win Sunday and he becomes the first driver ever to take his first eight Cup wins all on tracks that turn both ways. He is not in the title fight. He may decide it anyway.

A few more names worth knowing before the green flag.

The debut. Kevin Magnussen, the Danish veteran of 185 Formula One starts, makes his first NASCAR start Sunday in the Trackhouse Project 91 No. 91, the same one-off entry van Gisbergen drove in his own NASCAR debut at Chicago in 2023. Magnussen joins his father, Jan, as the only drivers born in Denmark to start a Cup race. He runs sports cars for BMW in the World Endurance Championship these days. A street course is exactly his kind of puzzle.

The drought. Kyle Larson, the No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet, has been everywhere and nowhere at once. He leads the entire series in stage points. He has led 597 laps this season. He has won nothing, a 40-race winless streak that is the longest of his Hendrick career, with four runner-up finishes since his last victory at Kansas in May of 2025. His own teammates have won six times while he has waited. That is a lot of fast Sundays with nothing in the trophy case.

The place. They are calling the layout the Qualcomm Circuit, 16 turns winding through the base. The whole weekend is built around the 250th anniversary of the U.S. Navy, with Anduril, a defense-technology company, as presenting sponsor and now NASCAR's Official Defense Partner. At 3.4 miles it is the fifth-longest track in Cup history. There is even a Special Olympics fun run on the circuit Thursday morning, before a single engine fires.

Here is what makes a brand-new track dangerous for the favorites, folks: in 22 of the 25 road-course races run with the Next Gen car, the winner started in the top eight, and the last seven road-course winners all rolled off the front row. Qualifying is everything when nobody has a baseline. No notes. No film. No track record. Just 16 turns through a naval air station, and a points lead waiting at the end of them.

Hamlin has spent four races reeling Reddick back in. Now the schedule hands him the one kind of track that has always slipped through his fingers, in a place the sport has never been.

Sixteen turns, one of them named for the carriers that call this base home, and a title that could swing on a street nobody has ever lapped.

John Speedway

Motorsports Columnist, Grand National Today

John Speedway covers the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series, CARS Tour, and Late Model Stock racing with the intensity of a man who believes the next great stock car driver is racing on a short track right now — and the rest of the world just hasn't figured it out yet. Speedway brings decades of sports storytelling to the developmental series that build the stars of tomorrow. He covers the races, the drivers, the tracks, and the stories that happen after the checkered flag drops.

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